Gemini Records US$41 Million in 30-Day Prediction Market Volume

United States.- 23 October 2026 | www.zonadeazar.com Gemini, the US platform operating within the cryptocurrency and financial markets ecosystem, recorded US$41 million in notional prediction market trading volume over the past 30 days, according to figures published by DeFi Rate.

The report, updated on 22 October 2026, covers trading activity between 22 September and 21 October.

Although Gemini accounts for less than 1% of total prediction market volume across the platforms monitored, it maintains an active presence in sports, cryptocurrency and political event contracts.

Gemini’s Key Performance Indicators

According to DeFi Rate, the platform recorded:

  • US$41 million: notional trading volume over 30 days.
  • 5%: decline compared with the previous period.
  • US$8.8 million: trading volume over the latest seven days.
  • US$1.1 million: contracts traded on 21 October.
  • US$333 million: cumulative volume during 2026.
  • US$335 million: total volume recorded since December 2025.

The figures indicate sustained trading activity, although at a considerably smaller scale than the industry’s leading operators.

Sports Account for 68% of Trading Volume

The report identifies sports as Gemini’s leading trading category.

During the 30-day period, activity was distributed as follows:

  • Sports: US$28 million, representing 68.4%.
  • Cryptocurrency: US$12 million, accounting for 28.6%.
  • Politics: US$866,000, representing 2.1%.
  • Economics: US$190,000.
  • Weather: US$88,000.
  • Technology: US$47,000.

Sports-related contracts increased by 26.1% compared with the previous period, while cryptocurrency trading declined by 36.7%.

These developments highlight the increasing importance of sporting events within Gemini’s recent trading activity.

American Football Drives Sports Trading

Several professional and college American football games ranked among Gemini’s most actively traded markets.

Leading contracts identified by DeFi Rate included matches involving:

  • Buffalo and Los Angeles: US$344,000.
  • San Francisco and Seattle: US$276,000.
  • Seattle and Denver: US$270,000.
  • Tampa Bay and Dallas: US$252,000.
  • Baltimore and Atlanta: US$248,000.

The prominence of these events illustrates the importance of US sports competitions within prediction markets.

Historical Records and Monthly Performance

DeFi Rate has tracked Gemini’s trading activity since 15 December 2025.

During that period, the platform established the following records:

  • Highest daily volume: US$3.3 million on 8 March 2026.
  • Highest seven-day volume: US$17 million between 19 and 25 June.
  • Highest monthly volume: US$50 million during July 2026.

In September, Gemini recorded US$44 million, representing 19% growth compared with August.

Meanwhile, October has generated approximately US$27 million according to the latest available figures.

Methodology and Industry Impact

DeFi Rate clarifies that its figures represent the notional face value of contracts traded, calculated at US$1 per contract.

Gemini does not publish the actual dollars paid per transaction or its total trade count, meaning these indicators are unavailable for direct comparison.

Within the US market, Gemini competes with larger platforms including Kalshi, Polymarket US and DraftKings Predictions.

For the iGaming and prediction markets industries, the figures demonstrate increasing operator diversity and the importance of sports-related event contracts.

Gemini’s future development will depend on its ability to expand trading activity, introduce new markets and compete within an increasingly active commercial environment.

Editó: @fonta

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